Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.000102 0.000114 0.000127 0.000142 0.000159 0.000177 0.000198
2024-10-06 0.000085 0.000101 0.000120 0.000143 0.000170 0.000201 0.000239
2024-10-13 0.000072 0.000090 0.000113 0.000142 0.000177 0.000221 0.000278
2024-10-20 0.000063 0.000083 0.000108 0.000142 0.000187 0.000244 0.000322
2024-10-27 0.000056 0.000077 0.000104 0.000143 0.000197 0.000267 0.000368
2024-11-03 0.000049 0.000070 0.000099 0.000141 0.000202 0.000285 0.000408
2024-11-10 0.000045 0.000066 0.000097 0.000144 0.000213 0.000311 0.000462
2024-11-17 0.000040 0.000062 0.000093 0.000143 0.000219 0.000330 0.000506
2024-11-24 0.000036 0.000058 0.000091 0.000143 0.000226 0.000352 0.000557
2024-12-01 0.000033 0.000054 0.000087 0.000142 0.000230 0.000368 0.000601
2024-12-08 0.000030 0.000051 0.000084 0.000141 0.000235 0.000386 0.000647
2024-12-15 0.000028 0.000048 0.000082 0.000140 0.000240 0.000405 0.000697
2024-12-22 0.000026 0.000046 0.000079 0.000140 0.000247 0.000428 0.000756
2024-12-29 0.000024 0.000043 0.000078 0.000141 0.000255 0.000452 0.000821
2025-01-05 0.000022 0.000041 0.000075 0.000139 0.000259 0.000471 0.000877
2025-01-12 0.000020 0.000039 0.000073 0.000140 0.000266 0.000496 0.000948
2025-01-19 0.000019 0.000038 0.000072 0.000141 0.000275 0.000524 0.001026
2025-01-26 0.000017 0.000035 0.000070 0.000139 0.000277 0.000541 0.001083
2025-02-02 0.000017 0.000034 0.000069 0.000142 0.000289 0.000576 0.001179
2025-02-09 0.000015 0.000033 0.000067 0.000141 0.000293 0.000596 0.001248
2025-02-16 0.000014 0.000031 0.000066 0.000141 0.000300 0.000623 0.001332
2025-02-23 0.000013 0.000030 0.000064 0.000139 0.000303 0.000642 0.001400
2025-03-02 0.000013 0.000028 0.000062 0.000138 0.000307 0.000662 0.001473